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Category: Weird
Date: 09/06/13 07:13 AM

25 Responses to Predictions About 2014 That Are Eerily Accurate

  1. Profile photo of ElectricEye
    ElectricEye Male 40-49
    2720 posts
    September 6, 2013 at 7:15 am
    Link: Predictions About 2014 That Are Eerily Accurate - Crazy predictions made in 1964 from genius Isaac Asimov about things that are happening as we speak.
  2. Profile photo of McGovern1981
    McGovern1981 Male 30-39
    14194 posts
    September 6, 2013 at 7:24 am
    Ummmm all those things were happening in 1964 too.
  3. Profile photo of patchouly
    patchouly Male 40-49
    4747 posts
    September 6, 2013 at 7:26 am
    Now, I love Issac. The man was amazing. But this was dumb. These were either blatently obvious predictions that anyone could hqave made or were just wrong (even though the video claimed they were right). For example, we do not have moving sidewalks in downtown sectors that take us where we want to go, regardless of whether the poster thinks that escalators in the Mall counts. There are several others in the video that are equally as wrong.
  4. Profile photo of RobSwindol
    RobSwindol Male 30-39
    2498 posts
    September 6, 2013 at 7:41 am
    I agree with the first two responses. Microwaves, TV Dinners, robot automation, and even escalators were all around prior to his predictions, so how are those predictions at all?

    The only thing he really predicted is that those things wouldn`t go away within the next 50 years.
  5. Profile photo of Jake_Justus
    Jake_Justus Male 50-59
    7033 posts
    September 6, 2013 at 7:46 am
    Asimov was a true Renaissance man, and a very good natured guy. He was a fixture at the NYC science-fiction conventions in the 70`s and always entertaining. Like Clarke, he had a visionary sense. But why do they cite things like frozen food, escalators, automation, etc., that were around then?

    I remember saying to a friend around the same time Asimov made these predictions, "Wouldn`t it be great if we could play movies at home just the way we play records?"
  6. Profile photo of Squrlz4Sale
    Squrlz4Sale Male 40-49
    6230 posts
    September 6, 2013 at 8:03 am
    Asimov was undeniably a genius, although some of these items weren`t so much predictions as identifications of trends that would become increasingly important over the next 50 years. He also foresaw the dangers of man-caused global warming and was sounding the alarm as early as the 1960s, long before most.

    Asimov on AGW in 1989.
  7. Profile photo of CodeJockey
    CodeJockey Male 40-49
    5559 posts
    September 6, 2013 at 8:13 am
    1) Any city is a withdrawal from nature. A farm is an attempt to mold nature to the needs of humanity.
    2) coffee makers go back to the 1930`s at least.
    3) TV dinners already existed.
    4) Escalators and moving sidewalks existed.
    5) Meh, 7B people seems low to me.
    6) Video phones were proposed, didn`t work well but, existed before the 70`s.
    7) Industrial robots of that type were deployed before the end of that year.
    8) I take it as `he thought most people would have to know how to program.` Programmers are still rare. The VCR came and went before people even figured out *blinking 12:00 AM*.

    Something he did get right: He predicted the occupation of programmer before electronic computers existed.
  8. Profile photo of Grendel
    Grendel Male 40-49
    5622 posts
    September 6, 2013 at 8:31 am
    Like most of speculative fiction writers, Asimov had a good grasp on the sciences and where they were heading. As did/does Niven, Weber, Herbert, Adams, Heinlein, Orwell & Clarke.

    But, occasionally, they get it really wrong. Example: Many of the authors never took into account just how fast the technology of Television would advance. Prior to the moon landing, virtually all fiction concerning moon exploration involved communication by Radio. Hardly any stories involved video from the moon. The technology advanced so fast that we did, indeed, watch it on tv.
  9. Profile photo of Gerry1of1
    Gerry1of1 Male 50-59
    35660 posts
    September 6, 2013 at 8:31 am

    Frozen dinners started in the `50s and were even more popular in the `60s so not hard to predict they would be around later on.

    Moving sidewalks, or "slidewalks", never caught on. I don`t think escalators at a mall counts. Airports have them to get down the long terminal hallways. I like them.

    Few routine jobs? Every office clerk, guv`ment clerk and fast food worker is laughing at that. Working on a computer is not a "machine tender". It only prints what I type into it. It takes more muscles in my hand to type than it does to write it by hand.

    I give him a 50/50 score. Withdrawing from nature and vid-phoning etc were accurate enough.
  10. Profile photo of bacon_pie
    bacon_pie Male 30-39
    3062 posts
    September 6, 2013 at 8:53 am
    The first patent for the escalator was in 1859
  11. Profile photo of Squrlz4Sale
    Squrlz4Sale Male 40-49
    6230 posts
    September 6, 2013 at 8:54 am
    @ Gerry: After my last post, I found Asimov`s essay that this video is based on, and he gets quite a few things wrong. Perhaps the biggest error was that he thought Moon colonies would be established by 2014. Considering where NASA was in 1964, that`s understandable. Who would`ve guessed that by 2014, no human would have set foot on the Moon in over 40 years?

    Relative to I-A-B, I think his most interesting prediction was this:

    "Mankind will suffer badly from the disease of boredom, a disease spreading more widely each year and growing in intensity. This will have serious mental, emotional and sociological consequences, and I dare say that psychiatry will be far and away the most important medical specialty in 2014."

    You can read Asimov`s original essay here.
  12. Profile photo of randomxnp
    randomxnp Male 30-39
    1293 posts
    September 6, 2013 at 9:57 am

    I wouldn`t even give him that, unfortunately. I like Asimov and respect him greatly, but he had the perspective of a time when most people predicted largely by extrapolation of existing trends.

    Video phoning is the exception rather than the rule. I say that after a whole day spent on FaceTime but I only ever use it for teaching. I never use it for personal calls nor for any other business purpose.
  13. Profile photo of Grendel
    Grendel Male 40-49
    5622 posts
    September 6, 2013 at 11:11 am
    randomxnp-"a time when most people predicted largely by extrapolation of existing trends."

    That`s pretty much the definition of predictions in any time frame.
  14. Profile photo of dogfeet
    dogfeet Male 30-39
    159 posts
    September 6, 2013 at 11:40 am
    ah, the original psychohistorian. hari seldon did it better.
  15. Profile photo of drawman61
    drawman61 Male 50-59
    7702 posts
    September 6, 2013 at 12:01 pm
    Ok, clever dicks, predict what it will be like in 2064 if it`s so easy.
  16. Profile photo of randomxnp
    randomxnp Male 30-39
    1293 posts
    September 6, 2013 at 12:41 pm

    Not for people who want to be right. More modern forecasting recognises that trends rarely last and important new factors come out of very small riots. The internet was not forecast by anyone in sci-fi that I know of.

    The only worthwhile forecasting is to try and identify future trends.
  17. Profile photo of randomxnp
    randomxnp Male 30-39
    1293 posts
    September 6, 2013 at 12:45 pm

    P.S. Paul Ehrlich used the technique of simply extrapolating trends. Where did that get him? I only know about him because he is famous for always being wrong!

    Of course some trends can be extrapolated, but we know far better now which, and how far.
  18. Profile photo of jbwhite
    jbwhite Male 18-29
    1293 posts
    September 6, 2013 at 12:51 pm
    love asimov
  19. Profile photo of djwajda
    djwajda Male 40-49
    885 posts
    September 6, 2013 at 12:59 pm
    So in 2014...

    -drawman61 will have suggested many, many more insane conspiracy theory links to I-A-B. Many will be mocked and few will stir actual, serious debate.

    -I-A-B will continue to be flooded with over the top political postings. Said postings will result in some legitimate debates but most will degenerate into `libtard` and `conservitard` related name callings.

    -5cats will continue to post cat porn.
  20. Profile photo of OldOllie
    OldOllie Male 60-69
    15845 posts
    September 6, 2013 at 1:15 pm
    Asimov was an International Vice-president for Mensa, so, yeah, he was a genius.
  21. Profile photo of LandoGriffin
    LandoGriffin Male 30-39
    3844 posts
    September 6, 2013 at 3:00 pm
    I really love Asimov, but this video obviously selectively reports his correct predictions and leaves out all his incorrect speculations. If he was right about everything, then robots could not harm a human, nor through inaction allow a human to come to harm.

    That should have been on the 50 question Geek Test the other day - quote Asimov`s three laws of robotics.
  22. Profile photo of bordo
    bordo Male 50-59
    907 posts
    September 6, 2013 at 3:58 pm
    I remember 1964. All or virtually all of these predictions were either mere extrapolations from what was already happening or are being misrepresented here. we do not have moving sidewalks except in places like airports and escalators were already around in 1964 and before.
  23. Profile photo of SnoopyBG
    SnoopyBG Male 18-29
    647 posts
    September 6, 2013 at 11:55 pm
    No, not really.
  24. Profile photo of jinxiejae
    jinxiejae Female 30-39
    2928 posts
    September 7, 2013 at 1:08 pm
    still waiting on the flying jeston cars and hover boards.
  25. Profile photo of BigWaFuu
    BigWaFuu Male 18-29
    1163 posts
    September 7, 2013 at 4:29 pm
    Bordo nailed it. These are generous connections at best. All of the conveniences predicted here were already developed, present, or being inspired in some way back in 1964. Asimov wasn`t dreaming of our 2014, he was envisioning a hyper-exaggerated reality where those few conveniences dominated every day like like the jetsons.

    We`re not there yet.

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