This would be depressing.

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This would be depressing.

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Better to have £100 worth of fun, than the miniscule chance of £2,000,000 worth of fun.

Bird in the hand and all that.

Go kill yourself immediately.[/quote]

... they ARE the same.

@Mr_pedo_bear... can I adopt you as a family member who sits in the corner at christmas and creeps everyone out? cos that`d be AWESOME.

I won`t insult your intelligence by doing the math, but you could retire with a handsome nest-egg

I will insult your intelligence by saying that you have more chance of being trampled to death by a herd of bees than you have of winning.

Notice how I didn`t say `statistically` to make it sound kooky.

Besides, think of it as charity to the education system it profits (atleast it does in my state, that may not be a worldwide thing).

Actually, from a probability standpoint, buying one lottery ticket is one of the smartest things you can do. Your probability of winning go up quite a bit when you actually play. Conversely, buying a second ticket is one of the dumbest things to do. Doesn`t change your probability hardly at all.

I like that you said that despite your avatar. You`re just a barrel of contradiction aren`t you?

The main point of this diatribe is that it`s very dangerious to assign odds for something to re-occure without clearly understanding what the event exactly is.

Fist off, the odds of this happening is *very* high. Why? Because there`s a photo showing it happened. I wouldn`t say it`s a certainty since there`s a chance this was fake.

All "kidding" aside. The kidding is in quotes becuase you have to be very specific about how you phrase the question when dealing with probabilities.

IF i asked what the probability of picking a series of numbers exactly one greater than the number the machine picked. That would be the same as the probability of choosing the same numbers as the machine picked. Why? Because there is still only one correct outcome out of the exact same number of possible outcomes.

Go kill yourself immediately."

Can`t tell if retarded or trolling...

Oh? So you are saying that there are the same exact odds of me getting a series of numbers each directly 1 minus the amount of each respective number of the lottery... as it is to actually get the exact numbers of the lottery?

Go kill yourself immediately.

"The variable is the numbers chosen. "

should be:

"The variable is the winning numbers. "

You`re looking at the numbers chosen as a variable, when it isn`t. The numbers chosen are a constant whenever it comes to the odds of the numbers being 1 lower. The variable is the numbers chosen.

You`re trying to calculate the odds that the chosen numbers will be a specific pattern, and the winning numbers will be a specific pattern, which is unnecessary. We just need to compare the winning numbers (the variable) to the chosen numbers (the constant).

The odds that any particular pattern is match is the same. It`s the same.

Well said. The lottery is a stupid people tax, and maybe sometimes a source of Darwin award recipients.

- This would be depressing.