How To Forecast The Weather [Pic]

Submitted by: FuggerNugger 6 years ago in Science

...with nothing but your smarts. You do have smarts, right?
There are 56 comments:
Male 12,138
[quote]The poles aren`t melting down. [/quote]
Just as a heads-up in case you`re still reading this, I`m goin to hold you that. You up for the challenge?
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Male 17,512
Davy: What you would`ve been correct to say is "....corrupt criminals that faked scientific data."

Global Warming is the biggest science fraud of the century.
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Male 12,138
[quote]You were skeptical of the May 21, 2011 doom date, but you aren`t skeptical of some profiteering hypocritical pseudo-scientists ? [/quote]
Wow. You really just compared belief in 21/5/11 to the belief (in the face of overwhelming scientific evidence) that our global climate might be affected by 7 billion humans on the planet? And climatologists are pseudo-scientists? Whatever dude, this thread is old. See you on the next one.
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Male 17,512
Davy: "By the time we see who is right, it`ll be too late."

The problem with scaremongering is that when your predictions don`t happen you have to keep revising them and then eventually you shift focus onto something else to scream, "the sky is falling!" about.

You were skeptical of the May 21, 2011 doom date, but you aren`t skeptical of some profiteering hypocritical pseudo-scientists ?

If all the predictions these types screamed about in the 60s and 70s had come true we`d already all be dead by now. I`ll cite some from the past: New Ice Age, Overpopulation, Global Thermonuclear War, Run Out Of Oil By The Year 2000, Ozone Hole Growing, Smog, Acid Rain, Global Flooding, and many more that have not came true.

If mankind ever does face disaster, it won`t be by our own hands, it will come from forces in our own planet.
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Male 17,512
Please note Davy you used the word meteorologist, NOT climatologist. I provided the evidence, now you try to sidestep it.

Climatologists are mainly government sector jobs, Meteorologists are private sector jobs.

If your a climatologist and you can`t show the government that there is anything of concern, then your funding (aka paycheck) gets cut. Please tell me who in their right mind would tell their boss that their job isn`t necessary ? Answer, Nobody.

Meteorologists, however, are privately paid and the better they do their job, generally, The bigger TV markets will hire them for a larger paycheck.

Also, You`ve been scare mongered by corrupt people and are perpetuating and spreading the `chicken little` baloney to others. Our kids will still be able to see polar bears, they are not going extinct. The poles aren`t melting down. Hurricanes are not growing in number or severity. If you were a truly objective scientist you would be more skeptical.
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Male 17,512
davymid: [quote]Oh Crakrjak. Dear Crakrjak. Please show me a link (in fact, ANYTHING will do) where >50% of professional meteorologists today believe that the planet is currently cooling.[/quote]
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Male 12,138
Hey, what can I say, I`m a "big-picture" kind of professional scientist. Say, what kind of scientist are you, crakrjak?

You know what, it doesn`t matter. I`m resigned to the fact that people like you are the reason that my 5-year-old daughter is going to live in a sh*ttier world than we did. By the time the damage is blantantly obvious to the undeniable point that there`s no summer North Pole ice cover anymore, you and I will both be old men, waiting for death. However, she`ll never see a polar bear in the wild because there won`t be any left, even though she snuggles in to her soft toy polar bear ever night. His name is Tundra, by the way. She can`t go to sleep without Tundra.

Whatever. By the time we see who is right, it`ll be too late. Easy to tell you don`t have children.
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Male 12,138
vv Sorry, Crakrjak, but no, you do not get an apology. The same study that you cited said (quoting your own link here):

"Climatologists, who study weather patterns over time, almost universally endorse the view that the earth is warming and that humans have contributed to climate change. There is less of a consensus among meteorologists, who predict short-term weather patterns."

*TOP TIP: "Over time" is a key phrase*

TV weather forecasters are very different from climatologists. A decent analogy would be geologists vs geomorphologists.

Take the example of the East Africa Rift Valley. Geologists will tell you that the Rift Valley is an incipient ocean, that the eastern part of Africa will drift, over millenia, away from the West Africa Craton. Geomorphologists will tell you that`s impossible, as their local lake has recently silted over, thereby creating more land. Simply put, it`s macroscopic vs microscopic.
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Male 17,512
Now Davy, Can I please get an apology for the insult about my sanity you threw my way earlier ?
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Male 17,512
Davymid: You asked for it, You got it.

NY Times

"A study released on Monday by researchers at George Mason University and the University of Texas at Austin found that only about half of the 571 television weathercasters surveyed believed that global warming was occurring and fewer than a third believed that climate change was “caused mostly by human activities.”
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Female 179
I also really enjoyed studying clouds through school. For local weather (i.e. where the clouds were being observed as the place of forecast) I was 90% accurate 2-4 days in advance. It was quite cool and really very easy once you got the hang of it. Watching and listening to animals really helps too, they`re the ones that are outside all the time to it`d pay to follow their advice.
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Female 179
From the ages of 6 to 12 years old, I would get a blood nose, every time, without fail, the day before or the day of rain. I was really sensitive to low pressure systems. It used to freak me out because I thought I would die.
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Female 318
I don`t need this to predict the weather. Thanks to my horrible internet company, I know when bad weather is coming my way by how long it takes a page to load! lol
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Male 521
@Dedfink
I wouldn`t say it`s common sense for most places. If the weather is important to your day`s activites (being in the country like yourself) then you learn it. I never knew any of this stuff until I learned to fly aircraft. Now I`m constantly looking for signs of weather shifts.

TL;DNR = You`ve got talent. :-)
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Male 12,138
[quote]davymid: Meteorologists, even the professional ones that can`t reliably predict the weather 4-5 days away, Most of them do not hold to the `global warming` chicken little theory. [/quote]
Oh Crakrjak. Dear Crakrjak. Please show me a link (in fact, ANYTHING will do) where >50% of professional meteorologists today believe that the planet is currently cooling. Seriously dude, have you any idea how kooky you sound? As a friend, I`m worried for your sanity, and your basic reasoning abilities. Have you seen a doctor recently?
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Female 247
I don`t lnow if I just grew up country- but isn`t most of this common sense?
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Male 17,512
davymid: Meteorologists, even the professional ones that can`t reliably predict the weather 4-5 days away, Most of them do not hold to the `global warming` chicken little theory.

Especially after the head of NOAA predicted record numbers of dangerous hurricanes (after Katrina in 2005) and no major hurricane (over category 2) has made landfall in the US since.
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Male 1,595
I`m not buying it that my cats would clean their ears before a rain.

Then again, they`re inside cats and have never experienced rain, so...
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Male 25,416
IF theres no birds, usually its because of a cyclone or hurricane!
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Male 2,748
I would rely on this before the weather people
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Male 364
@preoSmo - that is why I moved from there to Arizona. Haven`t seriously looked or cared about a weather forecast in 6 years. Here is how it breaks down for me now:
October - May: Perfect
June - September: A little warm ;)
That`s about it.
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Male 108
I just figure it`s gonna be partly cloudy. I`m right about 624% of the time. But then again I`m unique, my mom said so.
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Female 437
I once went to school in a summer dress on a lovely spring day, by the time I got picked up that night it had snowed. It snowed in July here once as well, what fun XD
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Female 3,001
where i live in the North of England, if you have no idea what the weather is supposed to be like, suspect rain.
only suspect warm weather when exams are due, and suspect snow when you have something important to attend to in the colder months that is not walking distance away.
expect the weather people on TV to tell you that its gonna be a BBQ summer, and expect them to be incorrect.


bitter? me?
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Male 1,010
If a guy dressed in red is falling down your chimney, it will be pretty cold for the next couple months.

If you get a paper in the mail from the government, demanding you fill inn all the debt and earnings you`ve had the recent year, it will be pretty warm for the next few months.
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Female 472
Or, if you`re in Nebraska:

December - February: Expect snow, wind and/or sleet.
February - May: Expect snow, sleeting, wind, rain, tornadoes and/or balmy hot days (sometimes on the same day)
May - June: Tornadoes
June - August: Unbearable heat and/or Tornadoes
August - December: See February
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Male 12,138
[quote]I`m an amateur meteorologist myself[/quote]
Hahahaha, that`s good. And yet you`re a Climate-Change denier. Oh, this is golden. Couldn`t make this stuff up. Thanks, Crakr, I had a hard day today, you`ve just given me some comic relief.

*adds to favourites*
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Male 3,461
I had a roommate from New York state; one day it was continually raining and stopping. He made a comment that he had never seen weather change so frequently, so drastically.
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Female 1,324
@crakrJak

except where it is almost always partly/mostly cloudy with a chance of rain >> lucky them lol.
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Male 17,512
LazyMe: Beware of just counting on TV & internet weather forecasts. I`m an amateur meteorologist myself and I can state for a fact that the "Partly cloudy, Chance of showers" forecast is a load of crap. What "Partly cloudy, Chance of showers" really means is, "We have no frikken idea what the weather will be like." It`s a catch phrase now, a cliche, because modern meteorologists depend too much on computer modeling, and not enough on the basics.
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Male 15,510
OR...

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Male 773
@lazyme

the weather network just isnt the same on the internet...they don`t such a deadly soundtrack!
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Male 93
and when it`s smokey out, my eyes turn red.
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Male 64
Basically its going to rain withing 2 days if there are a lot of clouds in the sky. Now I get it.
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Male 10,440
Those are some handy tips, but I`ll stick with the weather network since I`ve got it bookmarked.

I can find out what the weather will be tomorrow to a greater accuracy in about 3 seconds.
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Male 616
mammatus clouds are usually a sign of heavily moisture laden clouds, usually a precursor to a major downpour. don`t beleive this gradeschool crap
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Male 4,290
[quote]Is it me?...Or do those cloud names sound sexual?[/quote]
It`s you.
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Male 1,222
Dogs also roll over their back when its humid. TIL
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Male 205
I once was good at predicting weather using some of those "old wife tales", but they don`t apply any more. With the climate change we`ll have to come up with some new ones.
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Female 446
Is it me?...Or do those cloud names sound sexual? :-?
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Male 11,740
Awesome!!
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Male 734
Cool stuff.
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Male 2,402
@tedgp
Actually the wind patterns and it`s effect it brings is basically factual in the mainland USA. I guess your not educated about North America huh?
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Male 37,803
Very little of this applies to the middle of the American Continent, eh?

Animals: #4: LOLZ! Oh teh stupidity! What do cats do in the WINTER? Or in DESERTS??? Run around with dirty ears, eh??? NOT! dratting idiot...
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Male 562
Erection in the morning, must go a-porn-en, erection at night, must make white. Pretty sure that`s how it works.
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Male 464
Who just said old wives tale? This is all right, just phrased in a method that people understand
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Male 3,285
i laughed at most of them. Any educated person knows that almost all of them are old wives tales.
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Male 1,440
according to this info-graphic, it takes turtles 1-2 days to cross a road...
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Male 2,402
Well that`s nice for you US mainlanders. Hawaii trades come from NE direction bringing consistent rains on the leeward side of the islands. Red sky in the morning means the volcano is spewing more volcanic haze. Shoots sometimes it can get so thick with vog you cam look right at the sun with out welders goggles.
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Male 341
@19842011
it means Chuck Norris is somewhere nearby...
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Male 683
This post is meteorologist approved.
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Male 42
Where`s the bewbies and the punchline?????
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Female 4,359
this is so cool!
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Male 71
what does it indicate if millions of fish and birds die inexplicably?
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Male 11
or just google it
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Female 15
Link: How To Forecast The Weather [Pic] [Rate Link] - ...with nothing but your smarts. You do have smarts, right?
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